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Updated college football bowl projections: Utah to Rose, Vols to Orange

BAMA Football Today by BAMA Football Today
December 3, 2022
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College football bowl projections: 79 eligible teams for 82 spots entering Championship Week
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Utah’s physical dominance over USC on Friday launches the Utes to their second straight Rose Bowl appearance and likely knocks out the Trojans from the College Football Playoff. The Utes’ win also vaults Ohio State into the CFP and causes a ripple effect throughout the bowl lineup on Selection Sunday eve.

Utah’s victory causes only one team to vacate the New Year’s Six (Washington). With the Buckeyes sliding up to the Playoff, Penn State will formalize its Rose Bowl appearance with a Michigan win. Tennessee shifts to the Orange Bowl, and USC now travels to the Cotton Bowl instead of the CFP.

Beyond the major bowls, the shakeup is significant. The Big Ten retains its ReliaQuest spot while the ACC sends a team outside of its direct bowl agreements. Utah’s upset win forces 18 overall changes from Friday morning’s projections alone.

In other updates, Buffalo became the 81st team to become bowl eligible after a 23-22 comeback win against Akron. Rice (5-7) will become the only fill-in opponent based on its Academic Progress Rate. After speculation surfaced of Missouri not wanting to play Kansas in the Liberty Bowl — which first was reported by Action Network’s Brett McMurphy — both the Tigers and coach Eli Drinkwitz denied that speculation. We’ll see if the ancient “Border War” resurfaces in Memphis.

Not True … looking forward to our bowl game vs. any team! https://t.co/dlHGGEpIvt

— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) December 2, 2022

 

Finally, colleague Justin Williams reported Cincinnati-Louisville will resume their Keg of Nails rivalry in the Fenway Bowl. Let’s hope we get a few more matchups restoring old rivalries when pairings are unveiled Sunday.

Reminders:

  • Most bowls do not have to select in strict order of conference standings. “Big 12 No. 3” or “Big Ten No. 3” means third choice, not third place, which is why a team with a worse record or head-to-head loss can jump a conference rival.
  • The SEC office plays matchmaker with its bowls and schools.
  • ESPN Events owns and operates 16 of the 41 FBS bowls. Most of those bowls involve Group of 5 conferences. ESPN Events can move teams to create intriguing matchups.
  • All times Eastern.

New Year’s Six

BOWL DATE TEAM CITY VIEWING

Orange

Dec. 30

Clemson (ACC) vs. Tennessee (SEC/B1G/ND)

Miami

8 p.m. ESPN

Sugar

Dec. 31

Kansas State (Big 12) vs. Alabama (SEC)

New Orleans

Noon, ESPN

Fiesta

Dec. 31

No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU

Glendale, Ariz.

4 p.m./8 p.m. ESPN

Peach

Dec. 31

No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State

Atlanta

4 p.m./8 p.m. ESPN

Cotton

Jan. 2

USC (at-large) vs. Tulane (at-large/G5)

Arlington, Texas

1 p.m. ESPN

Rose

Jan. 2

Penn State (B1G) vs. Utah (Pac-12)

Pasadena, Calif.

5 p.m. ESPN

Remaining bowls

BOWL DATE TEAMS CITY VIEWING

Bahamas

Dec. 16

Miami-OH (MAC) vs. UAB (C-USA)

Nassau, Bahamas

11:30 a.m. ESPN

Cure

Dec. 16

Marshall (ESPN) vs. BYU (ESPN)

Orlando, Fla.

3 p.m. ESPN

Fenway

Dec. 17

Louisville (ACC No. 9) vs. Cincinnati (AAC)

Boston

11 a.m. ESPN

New Mexico

Dec. 17

San Jose State (MWC) vs. Rice (ESPN)

Albuquerque, N.M.

2:15 p.m. ESPN

LA Bowl

Dec. 17

Washington State (Pac-12 No. 6) vs. Boise State (MWC No. 1)

Inglewood, Calif.

3:30 p.m. ABC

Lendingtree

Dec. 17

Southern Miss (Sun Belt No. 5) vs. Bowling Green (C-USA/MAC)

Mobile, Ala.

5:45 p.m. ESPN

Vegas

Dec. 17

UCLA (Pac-12 No. 4) vs. Ole Miss (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Las Vegas

7:30 p.m. ABC

Frisco

Dec. 17

Houston (ESPN) vs. Fresno State (ESPN)

Frisco, Texas

9:15 p.m. ESPN

Myrtle Beach

Dec. 19

South Alabama (ESPN) vs. Liberty (ESPN)

Myrtle Beach, S.C.

2:30 p.m. ESPN

Idaho Potato

Dec. 20

Utah State (MWC) vs. Buffalo (MAC)

Boise, Idaho

3:30 p.m. ESPN

Boca Raton

Dec. 20

East Carolina (ESPN) vs. Connecticut (ESPN)

Boca Raton, Fla.

7:30 p.m. ESPN

New Orleans

Dec. 21

Troy (Sun Belt No. 2) vs. North Texas (C-USA)

New Orleans

8 p.m. ESPN

Armed Forces

Dec. 22

Air Force (ESPN) vs. Baylor (ESPN)

Fort Worth, Texas

7:30 p.m. ESPN

Independence

Dec. 23

Louisiana* (Army) vs. Memphis (AAC)

Shreveport, La.

3 p.m. ESPN

Gasparilla

Dec. 23

Coastal Carolina (ESPN) vs. Wake Forest (ESPN)

Tampa, Fla.

6:30 p.m. ESPN

Hawaii

Dec. 24

San Diego State (MWC) vs. Middle Tennessee (C-USA)

Honolulu

8 p.m. ESPN

Quick Lane

Dec. 26

Ga. Southern* (Big Ten No. 8) vs. Eastern Michigan (MAC)

Detroit

2:30 p.m. ESPN

Camellia

Dec. 27

UTSA (ESPN) vs. Ohio (ESPN)

Montgomery, Ala.

Noon ESPN

First Responder

Dec. 27

New Mexico State (ESPN) vs. Western Kentucky (ESPN)

University Park, Texas

3:15 p.m./6:45 p.m. ESPN

Birmingham

Dec. 27

SMU (AAC) vs. Florida (SEC No. 9)

Birmingham, Ala.

3:15 p.m./6:45 p.m. ESPN

Guaranteed Rate

Dec. 27

Wisconsin (Big Ten No. 7) vs. Kansas (Big 12 No. 6)

Phoenix

10:15 p.m. ESPN

Military

Dec. 28

UCF (AAC) vs. Duke (ACC No. 8)

Annapolis, Md.

2 p.m. ESPN

Liberty

Dec. 28

Oklahoma State (Big 12 No. 5) vs. Missouri (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Memphis, Tenn.

5:30 p.m. ESPN

Holiday

Dec. 28

North Carolina (ACC Nos. 2-4) vs. Oregon (Pac-12 No. 3)

San Diego

8 p.m. Fox

Texas

Dec. 28

Texas Tech (Big 12 No. 4) vs. Arkansas (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Houston

9 p.m. ESPN

Pinstripe

Dec. 29

Minnesota (Big Ten No. 5) vs. Syracuse (ACC Nos. 5-7)

Bronx, N.Y.

2 p.m. ESPN

Cheez-It

Dec. 29

Oklahoma (Big 12 No. 3) vs. Florida State (ACC Nos. 2-4)

Orlando, Fla.

5:30 p.m. ESPN

Alamo

Dec. 29

Texas (Big 12 No. 2) vs. Washington (Pac-12 No. 2)

San Antonio, Texas

9 p.m. ESPN

Duke’s Mayo

Dec. 30

Maryland (Big Ten No. 6) vs. NC State (ACC Nos. 5-7)

Charlotte, N.C.

Noon ESPN

Sun

Dec. 30

Pittsburgh (ACC Nos. 5-7) vs. Oregon State (Pac-12 No. 5)

El Paso, Texas

2 p.m. CBS

Gator

Dec. 30

Notre Dame (ACC Nos. 3-5) vs. Mississippi State (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Jacksonville, Fla.

3:30 p.m. ESPN

Arizona

Dec. 30

Wyoming (MWC) vs. Toledo (MAC)

Tucson, Ariz.

4:30 p.m. Barstool

Music City

Dec. 31

Iowa (Big Ten No. 4) vs. Kentucky (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Nashville

Noon ABC

ReliaQuest

Jan. 2

Illinois (Big Ten No. 3) vs. LSU (SEC Nos. 3-8)

Tampa, Fla.

Noon ESPN2

Citrus

Jan. 2

Purdue (Big Ten No. 2) vs. South Carolina (SEC No.2 )

Orlando, Fla.

1 p.m. ABC

Teams that have accepted official bids are in bold.

*  Replacement team for a conference without an eligible team.

 

(Photo: Kevin Abele / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)





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