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NFL Week 9 is upon us, and here are a few of our favorite former Alabama player prop bets to consider for this week’s card.
NFL Alabama player best prop bets: Bet on a Henry TD, Tua to throw 1 or fewer passing scores
Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-115 or better)
Major online sportsbooks hadn’t posted Henry’s rushing yards props as of late in the week, but we do like the looks of his anytime TD odds.
Henry has found his way into the end zone in five of his last six outings and has accounted for seven of the Titans’ last 12 offensive touchdowns, including a pair apiece in Weeks 5 and 8.
The Kansas City Chiefs’ defense has been stingy vs. the run, permitting only 550 rushing yards and five total TDs to opposing RBs in seven games.
However, King Henry keeps on demonstrating that he doesn’t conform to normal performance parameters so bank on another TD (or two) from him Sunday night in K.C.
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Tua Tagovailoa under 1.5 passing TDs (+110 or better)
Tua is coming off a three-touchdown outing against the Detroit Lions last week, upping his season total to 12 TD passes in six games.
However nine of those dozen TD tosses have come in two games — six in Week 2 at Baltimore and the trio last Sunday in the Motor City. Meanwhile, Tagovailoa has finished with one or fewer aerial scores in his other four starts.
The Bears, meanwhile, haven’t exactly faced a top-shelf contingent of quarterbacks so far, but they have only given up seven passing TDs in eight games — tied for the third-fewest total in the league.
So in a Sunday matchup that doesn’t look to have much shootout potential we’ll go with the under on Tua’s TD passes — at plus-odds to boot — this week.
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Josh Jacobs over 102.5 rushing/receiving yards (-110 or better)
Along with the rest of the Las Vegas Raiders’ offense, Jacobs struggled through his worst outing of the season last Sunday, finishing with 43 rushing yards and 54 total yards in an embarrassing 24-0 loss to the host New Orleans Saints.
That snapped an eye-popping three-game stretch for Jacobs who had averaged 27.3 touches and 174.3 total yards while scoring six total TDs during that span.
Expect the Raiders and Jacobs to get back on track Sunday against a Jacksonville Jaguars team which has lost five straight games and ranks among the league’s bottom 10 in surrendering an average of 138.1 scrimmage yards per game to opposing running backs.
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Mac Jones under 211.5 passing yards (-115 or better)
The New England Patriots’ second-year quarterback has topped this yardage total in three of four games this season in which he’s started and finished the contest. But two of his “overs” — 252 yards vs. the Steelers and 321 yards against the Ravens — came against two of the worst three passing defenses in the NFL.
Sunday’s foe, the visiting Indianapolis Colts, are permitting the eighth-fewest passing yards per game at 215.5.
The more important number, though, to Pats coach Bill Belichick is Jones’ league-leading interception percentage of 5.1. Jones has been picked off at least once in all five games that he’s played in for a total of seven on the season.
New England should be able to stifle one of the league’s worst offenses — an offense now led by inexperienced second-year QB Sam Ehlinger making his second career start . And instead of risking miscues with Jones airing it out often Sunday, look for the Pats to rely on their effective 1-2 ground game punch of Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris.
Additionally, there’s always the chance that if Jones does struggle early, regardless, rookie QB Bailey Zappe will be summoned from the bullpen for his fifth appearance of the season.
For those reasons, go with the under on Jones’ passing yardage.
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